Manchester City vs Burnley Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 27 Sep 2025

Premier League Betting Preview: Manchester City vs Burnley

Manchester City host Burnley in this Premier League encounter at Etihad Stadium, with kick-off set for 22:00 on Saturday 27 September. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, team news and both predicted and confirmed lineups.

Clarets Should Be Able to Cover the Line

Wagering Burnley +2.25 at 1.80 on the Asian Handicap means our stake is divided equally between +2 and +2.5. The scoreline could be competitive when they go up against Man City.

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City Have Been Unstoppable When Playing Burnley

Manchester City played Arsenal away in their last Premier League game. It was a 1-1 draw at Emirates Stadium. Pep Guardiola's men had just 33% possession and recorded three shots on target, with Erling Haaland scoring the goal.

On Wednesday night, City secured a 2-0 win when visiting Huddersfield Town in the EFL Cup.

Burnley played Nottingham Forest at home in their previous Premier League game. It was a 1-1 draw at Turf Moor. The Lancashire club recorded just 37% possession and had five shots on goal, while Jaidon Anthony found the net.

Four days ago, Burnley suffered a 2-1 EFL Cup home defeat at the hands of Cardiff City.

Head-to-Head Statistics

It was City who came out on top when they last played Burnley. At Etihad Stadium, a 3-1 home win was recorded. In the past 10 H2H meetings, City have won every time.

Premier League		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
9	Man City	5	2	1	2	9	5	4	9:5	7
16	Burnley	5	1	1	3	5	8	-3	5:8	4

View Full Table

City have 6 wins, 2 losses and 2 draws, averaging 1.7 goals from 4.1 shots on goal and 13.1 attempts. Pep Guardiola's team have averaged 57.2% possession, 519.2 passes and 5.5 corners per match, with their opponents getting 0.7 goals from 2.9 shots on goal, 9.4 attempts and 3.4 corners.

Erling Haaland leads the way with 7 goals, Bernardo Silva has 2, with Phil Foden and two others on 1. Jeremy Doku is the leading assists maker on 4, with goalkeepers Ederson, James Trafford and Gianluigi Donnarumma keeping 5 clean sheets between them.

Burnley have won 6, lost 3 and drawn 1, with an average of 4.6 shots on goal, 8.9 attempts and 1.9 goals. The Lancashire club average 46.3% possession, 3.7 corners awarded and 4.9 corners against, while 1.2 goals have been conceded from 13.2 attempts and 4.2 shots on goal.

The leading scorers have been Jaidon Anthony and Josh Brownhill with 5, while Zian Flemming has 3. Josh Cullen, Jaidon Anthony and Hannibal Mejbri have clocked up 2 assists, with Martin Dubravka keeping one clean sheet in the previous 10 games.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

Manchester City predicted lineup (4-1-4-1): Gianluigi Donnarumma (GK), Rico Lewis, Ruben Dias, Josko Gvardiol, Nico O'Reilly, Rodri, Oscar Bobb, Phil Foden, Tijjani Reijnders, Jeremy Doku, Erling Haaland.

Burnley predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Martin Dubravka (GK), Kyle Walker, Hjalmar Ekdal, Maxime Esteve, Quilindschy Hartman, Josh Cullen, Florentino, Loum Tchaouna, Josh Laurent, Jaidon Anthony, Lyle Foster.

Manchester City vs Burnley Prediction & Betting Tips

Get fully prepped for Manchester City vs Burnley with our betting guide, featuring our expert match pick, predicted scoreline, sharp corners advice, top player props and a value-focused bet builder.

Match Prediction

We anticipate a payout when we bet on Burnley +2.25 at 1.80 for this Premier League clash. This Asian Handicap wager has a great chance of landing a return based on the team news and stats at our disposal.

Our job is to consult the latest Premier League team news in order to produce the best football predictions. Then we crack on with the job of analysing the stats that are going to be the most effective.

Key Manchester City vs Burnley league stats:

• The +2.25 line has been covered by Burnley in 4 consecutive games.
• The -2.25 line hasn’t been covered by City in 8 of their last 10 games.
• The -2.25 line hasn’t been covered by City in 16 of their last 20 games.

Burnley +2.25 Probability

The betting apps are estimating that there is a 55.6% likelihood of this pick landing a return. Taking all factors into consideration, our tipsters think there’s a stronger chance of success and have a probability interval between 60-65%. It’s the reason why we are recommending this bet.

If you’re hunting for bigger odds and feel confident your pick is going to perform well, then consider moving the line and land a bigger potential return.

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Our Match Prediction

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Correct Score Prediction

Man City 1 - 0 Burnley

We’re taking a chance on Man City to achieve a 1-0 winning scoreline. Odds of 8.00 means we can place a smaller stake and still achieve a nice return.

Player Prop Picks

Corners Prediction

Man City Under 7.5 Corners

City have had under 7.5 corners in seven consecutive games, with Burnley conceding less than 7.5 corners in their past four away matches. We’re happy to back the 1.73 when it comes to City falling short of the Team Corners line which looks generous.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Man City

Total

8.90 5.50 3.40

Home

8.20 5.00 3.20

Away

8.70 4.40 4.30

Burnley

Total

8.60 3.70 4.90

Home

9.30 4.60 4.70

Away

8.30 4.10 4.20

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Man City Corners

Burnley Corners

Most Corners

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Manchester City vs Burnley Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

City Victory on the Cards According to Bookies

Manchester City are strong 1.17 favourites to win this Premier League encounter according to the Full-Time Result betting odds. The bookies give them a 85% chance of claiming victory. If you’re interested in wagering Burnley, you can get 15.00 for the underdog.

For those wanting an alternative, City are 1.54 on the Half-Time Result market. This means they need to lead at the break, with Burnley being priced up at 9.50 and the draw is 3.00.

Over 2.5 Goals is the shortest odds and that means three goals or more are anticipated. If you’re expecting at least one team to draw a blank, then the No option on the Both Teams to Score market is available at 1.63.

If you head to our recommended betting sites, then you can’t go wrong with the hundreds of markets available for each Premier League match. Go through the options and choose your football bet.

Erling Haaland Favourite to Be First Goalscorer

The First Goalscorer favourite is Erling Haaland at 2.70, with similar odds available for this player to register the last goal.

City Victorious in Past Six H2H Etihad Stadium Clashes

City have clocked up eight wins, one draw and one defeat in the past 10 home games, recording an average of 2.30 goals per match and conceding 0.90.

Burnley have clocked up five wins, three draws and two defeats in the past 10 away games, recording an average of 1.50 goals per match and conceding 0.90.

When the teams previously met at Etihad Stadium, City defeated Burnley 3-1. For the past 6 H2H meetings at Etihad Stadium, City have won every time.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Manchester City Home Stats		8-1-1	3.20	2.30	0.90	6	4	5	5
Burnley Away Stats		5-3-2	2.40	1.50	0.90	6	4	4	6

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

Manchester City vs Burnley Lineups & Team News

Know who’s in and who’s out for City vs Burnley before making your bets. We’ll deliver both predicted and confirmed lineups for the Premier League as well as the latest injury reports.

Manchester City Team Page Burnley Team Page